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Entry date: Tue, 16 Jun 2026
Market: Kerugoya
County scope: Kirinyaga
Data up to: Tue, 16 Jun 2026
Insight: Low
Forecast: Low
Rice Trend at Kerugoya
Market-aware analytics for the selected entry — trend and forecast use Kerugoya, while best buy/sell comparisons are limited to Kirinyaga County.
Average wholesale
Ksh162.61
At Kerugoya up to selected date
Average retail
Ksh188.26
Selected market average retail
Average spread
Ksh25.65
15.8% spread vs wholesale
Kerugoya Price Trend + Forecast
Solid lines = selected market history • dashed lines = 7-day forecast (Linear regression)
Momentum: Falling (-10.0%)
Condition: Balanced
7-Day Forecast
Method: Linear regression
| Day | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|
| D+1 | Ksh156.92 | Ksh180.55 |
| D+2 | Ksh156.44 | Ksh179.91 |
| D+3 | Ksh155.97 | Ksh179.27 |
| D+4 | Ksh155.49 | Ksh178.63 |
| D+5 | Ksh155.02 | Ksh177.98 |
| D+6 | Ksh154.55 | Ksh177.34 |
| D+7 | Ksh154.07 | Ksh176.70 |
Forecast is indicative only — it updates as new market prices arrive.
Recent Prices at Kerugoya
Latest 10 entries for this market up to the selected entry date
| Date | Market | County | Wholesale | Retail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 16 Jun 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh155.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Thu, 11 Jun 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Mon, 08 Jun 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Fri, 05 Jun 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Tue, 02 Jun 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh190.00 |
| Thu, 28 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh165.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Mon, 25 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh165.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Wed, 20 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh165.00 | Ksh200.00 |
| Fri, 15 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh160.00 | Ksh180.00 |
| Tue, 05 May 2026 | Kerugoya | Kirinyaga | Ksh155.00 | Ksh180.00 |
Featured sellers
Products related to today’s market activity
Active boosted listings appear first. If slots remain, related Rice products and latest marketplace items fill the section.
Latest
fresh red onions
Price
KES 50
per kg
fresh highly quality farm grown red onions available in bulk and retail ,...
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Improved Kienyeji Chicken
Price
KES 900
per piece
Kenbro improved kienyeji on sale. Multiple birds above 2kilos dead weight...
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Fingerlings premium (Catfish al...
Price
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-Premium quality catfish fingerlings/live catfish/ tilapia fingerlings. G...
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fresh Pixies
Price
KES 100
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very fresh ready and sweet pixies fruits at the farm located at Kithumba ...
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AI Analyst Brief
Selected market signals + Kirinyaga market rankings • 14 days up to selected entry
Cooling trend detected
At Kerugoya, retail dropped by 10.0% over the last 7 market days. Spreads suggest Balanced conditions.
Falling
Balanced
Recommendation
Buyers may get better deals soon; sellers should secure buyers early and differentiate on quality.
- Buyers: monitor for further drops; time your purchase.
- Sellers: bundle offers; emphasize freshness & delivery.
Best Markets to Buy (Lower retail)
Based on average retail in Kirinyaga County during the 14 days ending on the selected entry date (min 3 samples).
Kagio
Avg W: Ksh110.00
Avg R: Ksh145.00
Spread: Ksh35.00
Vol: Ksh25.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh142.00
Avg R: Ksh163.00
Spread: Ksh21.00
Vol: Ksh4.00
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh159.00
Avg R: Ksh182.00
Spread: Ksh23.00
Vol: Ksh4.00
Best Markets to Sell (Higher retail)
Based on average retail in Kirinyaga County during the 14 days ending on the selected entry date.
Kerugoya
Avg W: Ksh159.00
Avg R: Ksh182.00
Spread: Ksh23.00
Vol: Ksh4.00
Ngurubani Market
Avg W: Ksh142.00
Avg R: Ksh163.00
Spread: Ksh21.00
Vol: Ksh4.00
Kagio
Avg W: Ksh110.00
Avg R: Ksh145.00
Spread: Ksh35.00
Vol: Ksh25.00
Premium Actions
Unlock alerts, weekly forecasts, and county-specific recommendations for this commodity.
Best market ranking uses 14 days ending on the selected entry date.
Notes
Logic
Trend & Forecast use entries from Kerugoya only.
Best Buy/Sell ranks markets inside Kirinyaga County by average retail price (last 14 days ending on selected entry date).
Volatility is the stddev of retail prices in that window.
Forecast uses Linear regression and should be treated as indicative.